Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.036839 11.205376 12.488741 14.008614 15.766876 17.745831 20.154150
2025-11-23 8.212833 9.690909 11.432126 13.654515 16.444113 19.868030 24.448361
2025-11-30 7.242747 8.868884 10.877746 13.578715 17.172445 21.873254 28.630240
2025-12-07 6.359615 8.005011 10.111431 13.058447 17.161630 22.807817 31.414259
2025-12-14 5.620374 7.231124 9.352874 12.418723 16.850136 23.212860 33.411869
2025-12-21 5.141937 6.749148 8.922451 12.158479 17.003802 24.249853 36.449227
2025-12-28 5.180961 6.967396 9.461649 13.316170 19.349093 28.853044 45.913783
2026-01-04 4.959667 6.794292 9.419524 13.595299 20.363467 31.480259 52.514786
2026-01-11 4.600577 6.391630 9.003080 13.250552 20.325371 32.336371 56.048127
2026-01-18 4.453910 6.288871 9.023073 13.587454 21.439022 35.306446 64.135591
2026-01-25 4.185470 5.982573 8.704857 13.340802 21.516736 36.411720 68.680984
2026-02-01 3.962461 5.730571 8.451713 13.176051 21.713408 37.751015 73.965508
2026-02-08 3.754805 5.497398 8.224383 13.056838 22.020437 39.427350 80.569078
2026-02-15 3.525876 5.217121 7.902173 12.745905 21.938693 40.325238 85.610672
2026-02-22 3.364298 5.034082 7.725956 12.675483 22.304232 42.192910 93.469416
2026-03-01 3.142427 4.739945 7.343802 12.197963 21.812892 42.149416 96.402912
2026-03-08 2.918969 4.431696 6.919560 11.610175 21.040182 41.382252 97.231897
2026-03-15 2.772264 4.243544 6.690691 11.370883 20.959337 42.172112 102.624893
2026-03-22 2.847368 4.431222 7.126642 12.434583 23.742562 50.121101 131.556709
2026-03-29 2.789956 4.388386 7.149218 12.690752 24.805224 54.088931 149.614323
2026-04-05 2.652735 4.199942 6.896805 12.374347 24.543572 54.627681 156.296273
2026-04-12 2.612232 4.178833 6.949313 12.683554 25.757581 59.279496 179.386749
2026-04-19 2.501799 4.028130 6.751992 12.457194 25.680952 60.390577 189.599550